MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Angels @ Dodgers, 05/17/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 17, 2025
Angels
11
Final
Game 777884
Dodgers
9
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
80%
· tied 7%
·
Dodgers
13%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Dodgers 11–9.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.