MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rangers @ Yankees, 05/21/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 21, 2025
Rangers
3
Final
Game 777835
Yankees
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rangers
33%
· tied 17%
·
Yankees
50%
Yankees earned it
Yankees deserved to win and did, beating Rangers 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.