MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Dodgers @ Mets, 05/23/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 23, 2025
Dodgers
7
Final
Game 777808
Mets
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Dodgers
55%
· tied 13%
·
Mets
32%
Dodgers earned it
Dodgers deserved to win and did, beating Mets 7–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.