MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Mariners @ Astros, 05/24/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 24, 2025
Mariners
1
Final
Game 777787
Astros
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mariners
8%
· tied 12%
·
Astros
80%
Astros earned it
Astros deserved to win and did, beating Mariners 2–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.