MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Cubs @ Reds, 05/25/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 25, 2025
Cubs
11
Final
Game 777779
Reds
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cubs
93%
· tied 3%
·
Reds
3%
Cubs earned it
Cubs deserved to win and did, beating Reds 11–8.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.