MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Reds @ Royals, 05/27/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 27, 2025
Reds
7
Final
Game 777750
Royals
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Reds
64%
· tied 12%
·
Royals
23%
Reds earned it
Reds deserved to win and did, beating Royals 7–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.