MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
White Sox @ Mets, 05/27/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 27, 2025
White Sox
4
Final
Game 777749
Mets
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
White Sox
25%
· tied 13%
·
Mets
62%
Mets earned it
Mets deserved to win and did, beating White Sox 6–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.