MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Twins @ Mariners, 05/30/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 30, 2025
Twins
12
Final
Game 777713
Mariners
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Twins
80%
· tied 9%
·
Mariners
11%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Mariners 12–6.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.