MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Twins @ Athletics, 06/02/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 2, 2025
Twins
10
Final
Game 777669
Athletics
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Twins
73%
· tied 9%
·
Athletics
17%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Athletics 10–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.