MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Reds, 06/08/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 8, 2025
D-backs
2
Final
Game 777602
Reds
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
8%
· tied 7%
·
Reds
86%
Reds earned it
Reds deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 4–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.