MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Pirates @ Tigers, 06/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 19, 2025
Pirates
2
Final
Game 777451
Tigers
9
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Pirates
22%
· tied 14%
·
Tigers
64%
Tigers earned it
Tigers deserved to win and did, beating Pirates 9–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.