MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rockies @ Nationals, 06/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 19, 2025
Rockies
3
Final
Game 777445
Nationals
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rockies
20%
· tied 14%
·
Nationals
66%
Nationals earned it
Nationals deserved to win and did, beating Rockies 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.