MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Astros @ Angels, 06/21/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 21, 2025
Astros
1
Final
Game 777414
Angels
9
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Astros
1%
· tied 1%
·
Angels
98%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Astros 9–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.