MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Rangers @ Orioles, 06/25/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 25, 2025
Rangers
7
Final
Game 777365
Orioles
0
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rangers
96%
· tied 3%
·
Orioles
1%
Rangers earned it
Rangers deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 7–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.