MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Braves @ Athletics, 07/08/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 8, 2025
Braves
1
Final
Game 777189
Athletics
10
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Braves
15%
· tied 12%
·
Athletics
73%
Athletics earned it
Athletics deserved to win and did, beating Braves 10–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.