MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Mariners @ Yankees, 07/08/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 8, 2025
Mariners
3
Final
Game 777187
Yankees
10
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mariners
12%
· tied 10%
·
Yankees
78%
Yankees earned it
Yankees deserved to win and did, beating Mariners 10–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.