MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Braves @ Athletics, 07/10/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 10, 2025
Braves
4
Final
Game 777156
Athletics
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Braves
16%
· tied 16%
·
Athletics
68%
Athletics earned it
Athletics deserved to win and did, beating Braves 5–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.