MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Mariners @ Tigers, 07/12/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 12, 2025
Mariners
15
Final
Game 777145
Tigers
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mariners
82%
· tied 6%
·
Tigers
12%
Mariners earned it
Mariners deserved to win and did, beating Tigers 15–7.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.