MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Pirates @ Twins, 07/12/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 12, 2025
Pirates
4
Final
Game 777134
Twins
12
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Pirates
2%
· tied 2%
·
Twins
96%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Pirates 12–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.