MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Angels, 07/12/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 12, 2025
D-backs
5
Final
Game 777131
Angels
10
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
24%
· tied 11%
·
Angels
65%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 10–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.