MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Tigers @ Rangers, 07/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 19, 2025
Tigers
1
Final
Game 777088
Rangers
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Tigers
29%
· tied 22%
·
Rangers
49%
Rangers earned it
Rangers deserved to win and did, beating Tigers 4–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.