MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Tigers @ Rangers, 07/20/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 20, 2025
Tigers
2
Final
Game 777073
Rangers
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Tigers
69%
· tied 20%
·
Rangers
12%
Tigers earned it
Tigers deserved to win and did, beating Rangers 2–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.