MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Angels @ Mets, 07/23/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 23, 2025
Angels
3
Final
Game 777034
Mets
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
11%
· tied 10%
·
Mets
79%
Mets earned it
Mets deserved to win and did, beating Angels 6–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.