MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Athletics @ Astros, 07/25/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 25, 2025
Athletics
15
Final
Game 777007
Astros
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Athletics
100% ·
Astros
0%
Athletics earned it
Athletics deserved to win and did, beating Astros 15–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.