MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Pirates, 07/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 26, 2025
D-backs
0
Final
Game 777002
Pirates
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
3%
· tied 5%
·
Pirates
92%
Pirates earned it
Pirates deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 2–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.