MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Cubs @ White Sox, 07/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 26, 2025
Cubs
6
Final
Game 776994
White Sox
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cubs
75%
· tied 11%
·
White Sox
14%
Cubs earned it
Cubs deserved to win and did, beating White Sox 6–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.