MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Nationals @ Twins, 07/27/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 27, 2025
Nationals
7
Final
Game 776979
Twins
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Nationals
86%
· tied 6%
·
Twins
8%
Nationals earned it
Nationals deserved to win and did, beating Twins 7–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.