MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rangers @ Angels, 07/28/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 28, 2025
Rangers
4
Final
Game 776958
Angels
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rangers
18%
· tied 12%
·
Angels
69%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Rangers 6–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.