MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Tigers, 07/30/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 30, 2025
D-backs
2
Final
Game 776940
Tigers
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
17%
· tied 13%
·
Tigers
71%
Tigers earned it
Tigers deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 7–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.