MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rangers @ Angels, 07/30/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 30, 2025
Rangers
6
Final
Game 776932
Angels
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rangers
81%
· tied 9%
·
Angels
10%
Rangers earned it
Rangers deserved to win and did, beating Angels 6–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.