MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Cardinals @ Dodgers, 08/04/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 4, 2025
Cardinals
3
Final
Game 776870
Dodgers
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cardinals
66%
· tied 18%
·
Dodgers
17%
Cardinals earned it
Cardinals deserved to win and did, beating Dodgers 3–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.