MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Mariners @ Orioles, 08/12/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 12, 2025
Mariners
1
Final
Game 776776
Orioles
0
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mariners
50%
· tied 26%
·
Orioles
24%
Mariners earned it
Mariners deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 1–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.