MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Rockies, 08/16/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 16, 2025
D-backs
7
Final
Game 776715
Rockies
10
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
21%
· tied 13%
·
Rockies
67%
Rockies earned it
Rockies deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 10–7.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.