MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Astros @ Tigers, 08/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 19, 2025
Astros
0
Final
Game 776685
Tigers
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Astros
18%
· tied 17%
·
Tigers
64%
Tigers earned it
Tigers deserved to win and did, beating Astros 1–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.