MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Reds @ Angels, 08/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 19, 2025
Reds
6
Final
Game 776668
Angels
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Reds
69%
· tied 13%
·
Angels
18%
Reds earned it
Reds deserved to win and did, beating Angels 6–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.