MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Mets @ Braves, 08/22/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 22, 2025
Mets
12
Final
Game 776645
Braves
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mets
88%
· tied 5%
·
Braves
7%
Mets earned it
Mets deserved to win and did, beating Braves 12–7.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.