MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Twins @ White Sox, 08/23/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 23, 2025
Twins
3
Final
Game 776619
White Sox
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Twins
26%
· tied 16%
·
White Sox
58%
White Sox earned it
White Sox deserved to win and did, beating Twins 7–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.