MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Pirates @ Cardinals, 08/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 26, 2025
Pirates
8
Final
Game 776578
Cardinals
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Pirates
74%
· tied 13%
·
Cardinals
13%
Pirates earned it
Pirates deserved to win and did, beating Cardinals 8–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.