MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rockies @ Astros, 08/27/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 27, 2025
Rockies
0
Final
Game 776571
Astros
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rockies
10%
· tied 17%
·
Astros
73%
Astros earned it
Astros deserved to win and did, beating Rockies 4–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.