MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Yankees @ White Sox, 08/30/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 30, 2025
Yankees
5
Final
Game 776529
White Sox
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Yankees
82%
· tied 9%
·
White Sox
9%
Yankees earned it
Yankees deserved to win and did, beating White Sox 5–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.