MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
White Sox @ Twins, 09/04/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 4, 2025
White Sox
11
Final
Game 776462
Twins
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
White Sox
57%
· tied 12%
·
Twins
31%
White Sox earned it
White Sox deserved to win and did, beating Twins 11–8.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.