MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Twins, 09/12/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 12, 2025
D-backs
8
Final
Game 776355
Twins
9
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
34%
· tied 11%
·
Twins
55%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 9–8.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.