MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Astros @ Braves, 09/13/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 13, 2025
Astros
6
Final
Game 776346
Braves
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Astros
83%
· tied 10%
·
Braves
8%
Astros earned it
Astros deserved to win and did, beating Braves 6–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.