MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Royals @ Phillies, 09/14/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 14, 2025
Royals
10
Final
Game 776334
Phillies
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Royals
75%
· tied 11%
·
Phillies
14%
Royals earned it
Royals deserved to win and did, beating Phillies 10–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.