MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Yankees @ Twins, 09/15/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 15, 2025
Yankees
0
Final
Game 776313
Twins
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Yankees
1%
· tied 2%
·
Twins
96%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Yankees 7–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.