MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Orioles @ White Sox, 09/16/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 16, 2025
Orioles
8
Final
Game 776306
White Sox
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Orioles
71%
· tied 11%
·
White Sox
19%
Orioles earned it
Orioles deserved to win and did, beating White Sox 8–7.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.