MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Dodgers @ D-backs, 09/23/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 23, 2025
Dodgers
4
Final
Game 776213
D-backs
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Dodgers
19%
· tied 13%
·
D-backs
69%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Dodgers 5–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.