MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Royals @ Angels, 09/24/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 24, 2025
Royals
2
Final
Game 776197
Angels
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Royals
6%
· tied 9%
·
Angels
84%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Royals 3–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.