MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Astros @ Angels, 09/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 26, 2025
Astros
3
Final
Game 776169
Angels
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Astros
9%
· tied 10%
·
Angels
81%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Astros 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.